Sunday, 21 July 2024

Flood Mitigation and Climate Change

 

Mitigation of flood events is a long-term problem and solution.  the immediate problem is that cities are areas where people live and work and the transportation systems that move them from these location to the other.  When you add entertainment to the mix it gets more complicated.  We prefer personal transportation vehicles to public ones, and this means that the roadways and the parking spaces for these vehicles  are large flat spaces where water cannot penetrate and so must flow overland.  These flat areas are sloped to cause the water to move to drainage areas.  This is fine for low volume rain events when it rains only a couple of millimetres per hour but when the rain comes in faster it overwhelms these systems. 

Metric is perfect for these calculations.  A hectare is 100m x 100m and that is a large space, but about the size of a parking lot.  A hectare has exactly 10 000 square meters in it.  when it rains on that hectare it is easy to calculate how much water has fallen on it as there is 1000mm in a meter, every millimeter of rain fall equals 10 cubic meters of water.  So, when it rains 10mm in an hour that means there is 100 cubic meters of water that has to be moved off it every hour.  When 100mm of rain falls that is 1000 cubic meters of water that has to be moved in an hour.  If the drainage system can only more 600 cubic meters an hour, that means that 400 cubic meters has to be moved to adjacent hectares or else sit in place, and water like to move.

A mall will have many hectares of parking lot, roads have more drainage places but are also prone to the drains are in a line and can be overwhelmed from all the water pouring through them.  Homes also count as impermeable space, the water flows from them into the street or on to grass but many homes are surrounded by impermeable asphalt and concrete.  There are green spaces around some homes.  People like their lawns. Sometimes there is a large tree there too, maybe some shrubs.  But cities are mostly impermeable.

There are many types of ground.  And people think of ground as being porous for water and it can be.  Rock is the worst, and it promotes a lot of over land flow because the water does not penetrate it.  Gravel allows good water penetration as it has lots of space between the gravel.  Sand is just as good.  Clay is the more like rock when dry and when wet slows water penetration.  Bare ground is good until the air holes are filled with water and only if the air holes can fill with water.  Better than bare ground is plants.  Plants have roots that penetrate ground and established wild plants have added organic mater to the ground and soil. 

Grass is the worst, modern lawns the worst of the worst.  Lawns have shallow root penetration a couple of centimeters at best and that is as far as the overland water can penetrate easily, if lawn cuttings are left on the lawn they will create Organic matter in a few months and that will hold water like a sponge.  Better than grass are shrubs, the roots of shrubs will try to penetrate deep into the soil, about a meter into the soil.  This means that water flowing overland into some shrubs will soak into the ground about a meter and until this level fills up the overland water will penetrate the ground faster.  Trees are the next best.  Tree roots will often penetrate the ground more deeply.  As the tree grows taller the roots grow deeper to support the tree above ground and to find deeper sources of water.  The overland water encounters a tree and follows the roots deep into the ground and to disperse at those lower levels in the deeper soils.  Trees drop a lot of leaves in the city these leaves are taken away and disposed of, but in nature they form an organic matter shield that slows overland flow to allow it to penetrate the ground through the roots and acts like a sponge to fill with water.  The absolute best is a natural park.  The mix of shrub and trees with a blanket of multi-year leaf drift holds the overland flow back and helps it penetrate the ground for groundwater storage.  The organic matter in the soil (at all levels) acts as a sponge holding the water in place.

Healthy natural greenspaces inside urban environments and green spaces outside cities also help, the green belts ensure less overland flow from regions outside area of the city from reaching the city.  Back to the math.  A square kilometer is about the size of a neighbourhood, there are a hundred hectares in a square kilometer.  A big city is about 10km x 10 km and so has 100 square kilometers or about 10 000 hectares.  If it rains 10mm on the city, the city has to deal with 100 cubic meters of water per hectare, or about 1 000 000 cubic meters of water.  If the water can penetrate the ground into the soil then the city does not need to do anything.  If it rains on the city 100mm of rain and the city can only take care of half of the rainwater, then the rest will flow overland.  Half of that is 5 million cubic meters.  If the city can increase the ground penetration or delay the overland flow of the water less water will cause problems for the city.  More trees, more natural green spaces, more organic matter in the ground, on the ground, less lawns more complex front yards.

An Ounce of Prevention

We hear that global warming is the cause of the flooding.  How? There is a relationship with the temperature of the air and the amount of water it can hold.  The relationship is exponentially related.  Cold air holds less water and warm air holds more.  As soon as the air becomes warm it will start to hold more water until the temperature hits a point where all the air can be water vapour.  That is a long way off and there will be other problems if the air gets that warm.  But the amount of water that the air will hold when it is one degree warmer in the summer is a lot more and rain events that drop 30 mm in an hour will become events that drop 50mm in an hour and infrastructure that is designed to carry away water in 100-year events will experience those event more often and events that are expected every thousand years or never, every few years instead. 

Air - moisture carrying capacity vs. temperatureWhat is a 100-year event?  if we are expecting to get 100mm of rain in the month of July, and every 10 years we expect to get 150mm of rain or only 50mm of rain every once every 10 years, based on statistics.  We might expect that a drought in July where we get no rain might happen every 50 years and every 50 years we get 175mm of rain, both occurrences would be 50-year events.  A hundred-year event would change according to the regional statistics, but it might only a bit more than the 50-year event, so say 180mm of rain.  If the air were warmer, its carrying capacity would increase a lot.  If the carrying capacity rose 5% for every local temperature rise, and the temperature was 5 degrees warmer than usual, the amount of rain that would fall would be 20%-25% higher than average and 150mm would increase by 30mm-37.5mm  and make 100-year events happen every 10 years. 

Carrying capacity works two ways though, it also works to dry out the land faster too.  This means that when the air warms the amount of water it can hold increases, so while 20 degree wind over a northern forest can hold 20g of water per cubic meter of air, 30 degree wind will hold 30g of water meaning that the air will dry out the land 50% more than cooler wind, dry forests are forests that burn more.  Global warming and Climate Change go hand in hand.  Additionally, CO2 is considered a weak greenhouse gas and water vapour a stronger one.  The burning forests up the in the air and the warmer air adds more water vapour to the atmosphere so the world will get warmer faster. 

What can we do?  Reduce carbon emissions.  Stop adding to the problem.  Increase carbon capture, this will take carbon out of the air, and it will reduce the temperature around the globe a little bit, but the lowering of the temperature will decrease the carrying capacity of the air and reduce the water vapour in the air and further reduce the temperature of the planet. 

Short term mitigation, more natural green spaces inside cities to decrease overland flow and to reduce the flash part of a flood, slow the overland water down.  Increase diversification of urban residential greenspaces (lawns) more permeable hard spaces.  More plants around parking spaces has other positive benefits like calming effects and cooler cities.  Permeable parking lots with more green spaces would divert water to ground water and not to storm water.  Public Transit would decrease parking needs allowing for greater greenspaces and less overland water in addition to less greenhouse gasses.  Less lawns means less motorized yard maintenance with is less greenhouse gasses used, better water retention and cooler houses.  Less grassy lawns would also increase water penetration and lessen overland flow allowing more penetration of the ground and flooding in the homes. 

Some household suffer from more flooding than other locations.  They sit closer to floodplains, or they sit in places where rivers and streams historically existed before people developed them into houses.  Those natural water corridors should be revived to help channel water away from houses and along natural pathways.  Reviving a stream will keep the water out of the storm drain system and direct it slowly to more natural pathways.  Natural streams have denser vegetation that helps slow and recharge water tables.